Market Movement:

  • Bitcoin's price is currently at $88,512.00, reflecting a change of +1.29% in the last 24 hours.
  • Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $2,973.06, with a price increase of +0.85% over the same period.

Key Events:

  • The stablecoin market capitalization surged 49% in 2025, reaching $306 billion by December.

Trading Signals:

  • Bitcoin's recent price fluctuations have drawn accusations of manipulation, with on-chain data indicating market maker dumping.
  • The key support level for XRP is identified at $1.75, while resistance is noted at $2.36.

Narrative Shifts:

  • The stablecoin sector has seen significant growth, with major issuers receiving provisional banking charters, indicating a shift towards mainstream integration.
  • Institutional behavior is shifting as Prenetics has ceased all Bitcoin purchases, redirecting focus to its wellness brand, IM8.

Risk Alerts:

  • Bitcoin's price volatility has raised concerns about market manipulation, particularly following a recent crash that saw prices drop sharply.
  • The potential for a decline in XRP is noted if it breaks below the $1.75 support level.

Opportunities:

  • The stablecoin sector's growth presents opportunities for investment, with a market cap increase from $205 billion in January to $306 billion by December.
  • Prenetics is projected to generate between $180 million and $200 million in revenue in fiscal year 2026, indicating strong growth potential for its wellness brand.

Flows & Positioning

Bitcoin Whale Activity: $748M Longs and $330M ETH Sale

An $11 billion Bitcoin whale has made headlines by selling $330 million worth of Ethereum and opening massive long positions totaling $748 million in Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana. This strategic move comes as "smart money" traders remain net short on leading tokens, indicating a divergence in market sentiment. The whale's actions could signal a bullish outlook for these cryptocurrencies, especially as the market grapples with uncertainty. With Bitcoin currently trading around $88,000, this significant long positioning might suggest confidence in a potential price rebound.

Institutional Flows: XRP ETFs See $70M Inflows Amid Bitcoin Outflows

Institutional capital is shifting significantly, with XRP investment products attracting $70.2 million in inflows over the past week, contrasting sharply with Bitcoin's $443 million outflows. This trend indicates a strategic rotation among investors, who are increasingly favoring alternative digital assets amid ongoing regulatory clarity. Additionally, year-to-date inflows for XRP ETFs have reached $46.3 billion, showcasing robust institutional interest. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and Ethereum funds have faced sustained redemptions, highlighting a potential pivot in investor sentiment towards newer assets.

Price Levels: Bitcoin Holds $88K Amid Thin Trading Volume

Bitcoin's price has stabilized around $88,000, reflecting a cautious market sentiment as trading volumes have dipped significantly. The total crypto market capitalization is approximately $3.07 trillion, with Bitcoin's dominance remaining strong despite the lack of aggressive buying activity. Technical indicators suggest that Bitcoin is coiling within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with key resistance around $90,000 and support near $83,500. This consolidation phase may precede a significant price movement as traders await clearer market signals.

Market Implications: Institutional Divergence and Caution Ahead

The contrasting strategies among institutional players, such as BlackRock's recent Bitcoin sell-off and the aggressive accumulation by firms like Metaplanet, highlight a divided market outlook. This divergence reflects broader concerns about market volatility and regulatory pressures affecting traditional crypto investments. As family offices increase their crypto exposure, primarily in Bitcoin and Ether, the market may see a shift in dynamics. However, ongoing volatility and the recent trend of outflows from major crypto funds suggest that caution will remain paramount as 2026 approaches.

Corporate & Capital Markets

David Beckham-backed Supplements Firm Quits Bitcoin Buying Strategy After Raising $48 Million

Bitcoin was changing hands at about $114,000 at the time of the announcement, but has since fallen to about $88,000.

On-Chain & Network

Bitcoin Hyper's Layer-2 Network Promises High Throughput and Scalability

Bitcoin Hyper is a new Layer-2 network built on the Bitcoin blockchain, designed to enhance Bitcoin's scalability limitations. It boasts transaction speeds exceeding 65,000 transactions per second (TPS), a significant improvement over Bitcoin's typical throughput of 3–4 TPS. This architecture allows users to bridge Bitcoin onto the Hyper network and access decentralized applications, staking, and DeFi trading, all while maintaining the security of Bitcoin's base layer. The project has raised $29.8 million in its presale, indicating strong market confidence in its potential to deliver these enhancements.

Ethereum Records Surge in Smart Contract Deployments

Ethereum has experienced a notable rebound in on-chain development activity, with a record of 8.7 million smart contracts deployed in a single quarter. This surge is attributed to increased interest in tokenized assets, stablecoins, and infrastructure projects, reflecting a vibrant ecosystem that continues to attract developers and users alike.

XRP Gains Momentum with Increased DeFi Activity

Recent data indicates that XRP is shedding its previously passive reputation, with a significant portion of FXRP remaining locked in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. This trend suggests rising user activity and deepening liquidity within the XRP Ledger via the Flare Network, contributing to a more bullish outlook for XRP and its ecosystem.

Macro & Policy

China's PBOC Allows Interest on Digital Yuan Wallets, Attracts $188M Investment

Chinese investors have invested over $188 million into digital yuan-related stocks following the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) announcement that wallets for the central bank digital currency (CBDC) can now earn interest. This policy shift is expected to enhance the digital yuan's appeal, as it allows for a more diverse range of financial products and services for both enterprises and individuals. The PBOC's new framework will be implemented on January 1, 2026, allowing banks to manage assets and liabilities within digital yuan wallets independently, which could further stimulate investment in this sector.

Russia Introduces Criminal Penalties for Illegal Crypto Mining

The Russian Ministry of Justice has proposed significant penalties for unregistered crypto mining, including fines of up to 1.5 million rubles (approximately $15,000) and prison sentences of up to five years for large-scale operations. This draft legislation, which introduces Article 171.6 to the Criminal Code, targets miners who do not register with the Federal Tax Service, a requirement that will take effect on November 1, 2024. The penalties escalate for organized operations generating income above 13.5 million rubles, with fines reaching up to 2.5 million rubles and potential imprisonment for five years.

Binance Halts Withdrawals for Ukrainian Users Amid Regulatory Changes

Binance has temporarily suspended Visa and Mastercard withdrawals for Ukrainian users as part of maintenance linked to regulatory shifts involving its fiat partner, Bifinity. While this pause does not affect access to P2P trading, card deposits, or SWIFT transfers, it highlights the ongoing regulatory challenges faced by cryptocurrency exchanges operating in Ukraine.

Uganda's Opposition Leader Advocates for Decentralized Messaging Ahead of Elections

As Uganda approaches its presidential election scheduled for January 15, 2026, opposition leader Bobi Wine has urged supporters to utilize a decentralized messaging app to circumvent potential government-imposed internet restrictions. Historical precedents from previous elections indicate that such blackouts have disproportionately impacted opposition activities, raising concerns about transparency and communication during the electoral process.

Security & Incidents

Unleash Protocol Hack Results in $4 Million Theft

A hacker appears to have gained unauthorized control over Unleash Protocol's multisig, enabling them to drain nearly $4 million in assets.

Pi Network Scam Drains 4.4 Million Pi Coins

Members of the Pi Network community are raising alarms over a growing scam method that has already resulted in millions of Pi tokens being drained from user wallets. The scheme exploits the network’s payment request feature and the inherent transparency of blockchain data, prompting the Pi Core Team to temporarily disable payment requests as losses mount.

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