Market Movement:

  • Bitcoin briefly plunged below $87,000, wiping out a week’s gains in one session, and is currently priced at $86,053, down 5.4% from previous levels.
  • The global crypto market capitalization decreased by 4% to $3.01 trillion.

Key Events:

  • Spot bitcoin ETF outflows hit $3.5 billion in November, marking the largest monthly outflow since February.
  • Spot ether ETFs saw $1.42 billion exit the funds last month, marking their largest monthly outflow to date.

Trading Signals:

  • Liquidations surged across leveraged positions, with $400 million liquidated in just 60 minutes during the recent selloff.

Narrative Shifts:

  • The market saw a significant reaction from both retail and institutional investors due to the rapid price movements.

Risk Alerts:

  • The crypto industry suffered an estimated $127 million in losses to hacks and exploits in November alone.
  • Yearn Finance’s yETH product was hacked, resulting in attackers profiting approximately $3 million worth of ETH.

Opportunities:

  • MicroStrategy's Bitcoin portfolio consists of 649,870 BTC, valued at $59.45 billion, indicating strong corporate interest in Bitcoin.
  • The total value of the yETH pool was around $11 million prior to the hack, highlighting potential recovery opportunities in DeFi.

Flows & Positioning

Bitcoin Faces $3.5 Billion ETF Outflows Amid Price Decline

In November, spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced significant outflows totaling $3.5 billion, marking the largest monthly exit since February. This trend coincides with Bitcoin's recent price drop, which saw it briefly fall below $87,000, erasing a week's worth of gains in a single session. The rapid selloff led to approximately $400 million in liquidations within just one hour, reflecting heightened volatility in the market. This downturn pushed the total crypto market capitalization down by 4% to $3.04 trillion, indicating a broader market reaction to the pressure on Bitcoin's price.

Institutional Moves: BlackRock's Bitcoin ETFs Lead Revenue

BlackRock has reported that its spot Bitcoin ETFs have become its most profitable product line, with allocations nearing $100 billion. This surge in institutional interest highlights the growing demand for Bitcoin exposure, even as the market faces turbulence. In contrast, Ethereum ETFs are experiencing significant outflows, with Grayscale's ETHE recording a staggering $4.93 billion in cumulative net redemptions. This disparity in ETF performance underscores the shifting dynamics within the crypto investment landscape.

Price Levels: Bitcoin Tests Key Support Below $87K

Bitcoin's price has recently tested critical support levels, dropping below $86,000 during Asian trading. This decline represents a 5.4% decrease, with the asset now hovering around $86,053, indicating a potential trend reversal if support fails to hold. Additionally, the market saw over $600 million in leveraged positions liquidated, with Bitcoin leading the charge at approximately $185 million. The current technical outlook suggests that Bitcoin must reclaim the $91,000 level to regain bullish momentum.

Market Implications: Caution Amid Broader Economic Concerns

The recent volatility in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices reflects broader economic uncertainties, including potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Analysts suggest that these macroeconomic factors could influence investor sentiment and market positioning in the coming weeks. As institutional interest remains strong, particularly in Bitcoin, the market may see a bifurcation where Bitcoin continues to attract capital while Ethereum struggles with outflows. This divergence could shape investment strategies as traders navigate the evolving landscape.

Macro & Policy

Tether's Financial Stability Under Scrutiny Amid Bitcoin Price Volatility

Arthur Hayes has warned that a 30% decline in Bitcoin's price could render Tether insolvent, highlighting the precarious nature of its liquidity. Currently, Tether's assets amount to $181 billion, while its liabilities stand at $174 billion, indicating a narrow margin that raises concerns about its ability to maintain stability in a volatile market.

Market Reactions to Potential Rate Hikes and Bitcoin Price Predictions

Bitcoin has recently dropped to $85,000, influenced by fears of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan. Analysts suggest that this could lead to a further decline in Bitcoin's price, with projections indicating a possible drop to as low as $67,000 in December.

Tether's Response to Rating Agency Concerns

The CEO of Tether has publicly criticized S&P for downgrading USDt's ability to maintain its peg, citing concerns over Tether's reserves in Bitcoin and gold. This move by S&P reflects ongoing scrutiny of stablecoin issuers and their asset backing, which could impact market confidence.

Security & Incidents

Yearn Finance’s yETH Suffers Major Hack

DeFi platform Yearn Finance’s yETH product was hit by an unlimited minting of tokens on November 30, 2025, draining the entire yETH pool in a single transaction. Yearn later confirmed the “incident”, assuring that its V2 and V3 Vaults remain secure and unaffected. The exploit generated a near-infinite number of yETH, draining millions from Balancer pools. Attackers roughly profited 1,000 ETH, worth $3 million, which was routed through the Tornado Cash mixer, as noted by Chinese journalist Colin Wu.

The total financial losses remain unclear; however, the yETH pool had a total value around $11 million prior to the attack, according to Dexscreener data. Following the exploit, mixed reactions came from the community, with some expressing concern over the continued use of outdated contracts. Yearn Finance previously suffered a hack in 2021, affecting its yDAI vault and losing $11 million in value.

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