Market Movement:

  • XRP experienced a 41% intraday collapse from $2.77 to $1.64, then rebounded to close above $2.47, with volatility reaching a peak volume of 817 million and a daily trading range of $1.14.

Key Events:

  • Over $20 billion in total crypto liquidations occurred in the past 24 hours, with USDe liquidations exceeding $19 billion during the peg depegging event.
  • Ethena’s USDe briefly lost its peg, dropping to 65 cents before recovering, with Ethena Labs confirming USDe remains over-collateralized.
  • Coinbase is preparing to launch a new Amex card featuring the Genesis Block data, symbolizing Bitcoin’s origin, with a focus on BTC cashback rewards.

Trading Signals:

  • Over $150 million in XRP futures were liquidated during the recent macro-driven selloff, with open interest falling 6.3% overnight.
  • XRP’s volume peaked at 817 million during the flash crash, indicating high institutional and retail activity, with large holders rebuilding exposure between $2.34–$2.45.

Narrative Shifts:

  • The recent selloff underscores increased correlation between crypto and traditional markets, with Bitcoin dropping nearly 9% and Ethereum over 12%, driven by macroeconomic shocks.
  • The market is experiencing sector rotation from risk assets to safe havens, as USDe’s brief peg loss and XRP’s volatility highlight heightened macroeconomic influence.
  • Institutional activity is rebounding, with bids rebuilding after panic liquidations, especially noted in XRP’s recovery from $1.64 to above $2.47.

Risk Alerts:

  • Elevated volatility with a 41% intraday drop in XRP and over $19 billion in liquidations signals high systemic risk.
  • The brief depegging of USDe and the auto-deleveraging mechanisms at venues highlight liquidity risks and potential for cascading liquidations.
  • Regulatory and macroeconomic risks remain heightened, with geopolitical tensions (U.S.–China tariffs) directly impacting crypto market stability.

Opportunities:

  • The upcoming Coinbase Amex card, emphasizing Bitcoin’s Genesis Block, presents branding and adoption opportunities for BTC-focused financial products.
  • The resilience of DeFi protocols like Aave and Morpho, which maintained peg and collateralization, suggests continued growth in blue-chip DeFi assets amid macro volatility.

Flows & Positioning

$20 Billion Liquidation Event Shakes Crypto Market

Recent market turmoil led to the largest liquidation event in crypto history, erasing over $20 billion in trader capital within 24 hours. This unprecedented sell-off was triggered by macroeconomic factors, including President Trump's announcement of a 100% tariff on Chinese imports, which spooked investors across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. During this chaotic period, Bitcoin saw a sharp decline, dropping from above $122,000 to a low of nearly $102,000, while Ethereum and XRP also faced significant losses. Analysts noted that over 1.66 million traders were liquidated, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the losses at $5.38 billion and $4.43 billion, respectively, marking a severe deleveraging event for the crypto market.

Institutional Activity Amid Market Chaos

Despite the market downturn, institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, with spot Bitcoin ETFs recording $2.71 billion in weekly inflows. This influx occurred even as the broader market faced significant outflows triggered by the tariff announcement, indicating a potential divergence between institutional sentiment and retail panic. Additionally, large holders, or "whales," have been accumulating positions in various cryptocurrencies, including Cardano, which saw increased holdings from wallets containing 10 million to 100 million ADA. This suggests that while retail traders may be liquidating positions, institutional players are strategically positioning themselves for potential rebounds.

Whale Movements and Trading Patterns

Whales capitalized on the volatility, with one trader reportedly making over $160 million in profits by shorting Bitcoin and Ethereum just before the market crash. This trader's strategic positioning highlights the potential for significant gains during periods of high market stress, as they were able to exit positions profitably amidst widespread liquidations. In contrast, many retail traders faced substantial losses, with over 1,000 wallets on Hyperliquid being completely liquidated, resulting in a loss of approximately $1.23 billion in trader capital. This stark difference in outcomes emphasizes the risks associated with leveraged trading during volatile market conditions.

Market Implications and Future Outlook

The recent liquidation event has raised concerns about the overall stability of the crypto market, with analysts warning that the bottom may not yet be in. The rapid decline in prices and the significant number of liquidations suggest a fragile market structure that could lead to further volatility in the near term. However, the ongoing institutional interest, as evidenced by ETF inflows and whale accumulation, may provide a buffer against prolonged downturns. As the market digests these developments, traders will be closely monitoring key support levels and the potential for recovery as sentiment shifts from fear to cautious optimism.

Corporate & Capital Markets

Galaxy Digital Secures $460M for AI Data Center Transformation

Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital has secured a $460 million investment to convert its former Bitcoin mining site in Texas into a large-scale AI data center.

Wintermute CEO Denies Collapse Rumors Amid $19B Market Crash

Wintermute CEO Evgeny Gaevoy denies collapse rumors after the Oct. 10 crypto crash wiped out $19B in leveraged positions.

Ecosystem Movers

Bitcoin Price Movements Amid Market Turmoil

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced significant volatility recently, dropping from above $120,800 to nearly $102,000 before rebounding by approximately 9% to over $111,000. This decline is part of a larger market correction that saw a staggering $20 billion in liquidations across the crypto space, with Bitcoin's decline being relatively milder at around 7% compared to other altcoins like Ethereum and XRP, which fell over 13% and 42%, respectively. The overall market capitalization has plummeted by more than $410 billion, showcasing the extent of the sell-off triggered by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty.

Gold-Backed Tokens Show Resilience

In stark contrast to the broader crypto market, gold-backed tokens such as Paxos’ PAXG and Tether’s XAUT have demonstrated resilience during the recent downturn, with PAXG only dropping 0.23% to $3,998 and XAUT rising 0.2% to $4,010. These tokens are tied to physical gold, which has seen a significant rally, up over 50% year-to-date. However, analysts caution that gold may be approaching overbought territory, which could signal a potential consolidation phase ahead, impacting the stability of these tokens.

XRP and Chainlink Face Major Declines

XRP has been particularly hard-hit, suffering a 42% drop amid the market-wide selloff, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and the U.S. government's tariff announcements. The token fell to $1.77 before stabilizing, but analysts warn of further downside risks as it broke key support levels. Similarly, Chainlink (LINK) faced a dramatic 21% decline after the team unlocked 18.75 million tokens worth $387 million, leading to significant selling pressure on exchanges.

Macro & Policy

UK Investment Platform Rejects Bitcoin as Asset Class Amid Regulatory Changes

Hargreaves Lansdown, a leading UK retail investment platform, has stated that bitcoin should not be considered a core investment asset, citing its historical volatility and extreme losses. This announcement comes as the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has lifted a nearly four-year ban on crypto exchange-traded notes (ETNs) for retail investors. The FCA's new regulations stipulate that only crypto ETNs physically backed by bitcoin or ether will be permitted, ensuring they meet the same disclosure and investor protection standards as traditional securities. Hargreaves Lansdown plans to introduce these crypto products in early 2026, with a 10% cap on crypto exposure for qualifying clients, reflecting a cautious approach to integrating cryptocurrencies into investment portfolios.

Norwegian Investigation into Betting Irregularities on Nobel Peace Prize

Norwegian officials are investigating suspicious betting activity on Polymarket regarding the Nobel Peace Prize winner, María Corina Machado. Large bets were placed shortly before the official announcement, raising concerns about a potential leak of confidential information. The investigation highlights the need for regulatory scrutiny over prediction markets, particularly as they become more integrated with real-world events.

Bitcoin Support from Nobel Peace Prize Winner

María Corina Machado, the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, has publicly supported bitcoin as a means of resistance against autocracy in Venezuela. Her advocacy for the cryptocurrency underscores its perceived role in providing financial alternatives in countries with struggling economies, further intertwining the narratives of human rights and digital currency.

Binance User Compensation Amid Market Volatility

Binance has announced it will compensate some users affected by recent market depegging events, although it clarified that losses from price movements and unrealized profits are not eligible for compensation. This decision reflects the ongoing challenges in maintaining market stability and user trust in cryptocurrency exchanges.

Security & Incidents

Massachusetts’ $247 Million Crypto ATM Scam

The story discusses a significant crypto ATM scam in Massachusetts, amounting to $247 million. The investigation into this scam has been described as "nearly impossible to investigate," raising concerns about the effectiveness of licensing and transaction caps in preventing such fraudulent activities.

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